Neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections
Disease Description
Case definition in GBD 2017
Neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections are infections during the neonatal period that advance to a systemic bloodstream infection, the underlying cause of which can be meningitis, gastroenteritis, or other aetiologies. Neonatal pneumonia, however, is not included – it is captured in the modelling of pneumonia as a separate entity.
Todo
Add more information and references. In particular, find data about differences in global and gbd definitions, global prevalence and relation to folic acid during pregnancy.
Modeling Neonatal sepsis and other infections in GBD 2017
It is worth noting that the ICD 10 and ICD 9 codes used in non-fatal and fatal GBD models are different [GBD-2017-YLD-Capstone-Appendix-1-Neonatal-sepsis-and-other-infections], [GBD-2017-CoD-Appendix-1-Neonatal-sepsis-and-other-infections].
The codes used in both models can be found in the table below:
Model Type |
Non-fatal model |
Fatal model |
|---|---|---|
ICD 10 |
P36-P36.9, P38-P39.9 |
P36-P36.9, P38-P39.9 |
ICD 10 used in Hospital/Claims Analyses |
K29.0-K29.00, K29.1-K29.20, P36-P36.9, P38-P39.9, P77-P78.1 |
|
ICD 9 |
771, 771.4-771.89 |
771.4-771.9 |
ICD 9 used in Hospital/Claims Analyses |
535.0-535.00, 535.3-535.30, 771, 771.4-771.89, 777.5-777.7 |
Todo
Add relevant details about neonatal sepsis and other infections modeling process from [GBD-2017-YLD-Capstone-Appendix-1-Neonatal-sepsis-and-other-infections] and from the [GBD-2017-CoD-Appendix-1-Neonatal-sepsis-and-other-infections] Appendix.
Cause Hierarchy
Cause Model Diagram
Data Description
State |
State Name |
Definition |
|---|---|---|
S |
Susceptible |
Susceptible to neonatal sepsis and other infections |
I |
Infected |
Infected with neonatal sepsis and other infections |
State |
Measure |
Value |
Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
S |
prevalence |
1-prevalence_c383 |
|
S |
birth prevalence |
1-birth_prevalence_c383 |
|
S |
excess mortality rate |
0 |
|
S |
disabilty weights |
0 |
|
I |
prevalence |
prevalence_c383 |
|
I |
birth prevalence |
birth_prevalence_c383 |
|
I |
excess mortality rate |
\(\frac{\text{deaths\_c383}}{\text{population} \times \text{prevalence\_c383}}\) |
= (cause-specific mortality rate) / prevalence |
I |
disability weights |
\(\displaystyle{\sum_{s\in \text{sequelae\_c383}}} \scriptstyle{\text{disability\_weight}_s \,\times\, \text{prevalence}_s}\) |
= average disability weight over all sequelae |
ALL |
cause specific mortality rate |
\(\frac{\text{deaths\_c383}}{\text{population}}\) |
Transition |
Source |
Sink |
Value |
Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
i |
S |
I |
incidence_rate_m1594 |
Incidence rate is estimated in dismod but does not exists in como. It is set to 0 after 27 days as by definition neonatal sepsis must occur within neonatal period (0-27 days) [GBD-2017-YLD-Capstone-Appendix-1-Neonatal-sepsis-and-other-infections]. |
r |
I |
R |
remission_rate_m1594 |
Remission rate is estimated in dismod based on the average case duration assumption of two weeks [GBD-2017-YLD-Capstone-Appendix-1-Neonatal-sepsis-and-other-infections]. |
Measure |
Sources |
Description |
Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
prevalence_c383 |
como |
Prevalence of cause neonatal sepsis and other infections |
|
birth_prevalence_c383 |
como |
Birth prevalence of cause neonatal sepsis and other infections |
|
deaths_c383 |
codcorrect |
Deaths from cause neonatal sepsis and other infections |
|
population |
demography |
Mid-year population for given age/sex/year/location |
|
sequelae_c383 |
gbd_mapping |
List of 17 sequelae for neonatal sepsis and other infections. |
The sequela ids are in sequence from 1250 to 1266 |
incidence_rate_m1594 |
dismod |
Incidence rate for modelable entity, neonatal sepsis and other infections |
|
remission_rate_m1594 |
dismod |
Remission rate for modelable entity, neonatal sepsis and other infections |
|
disability_weight_s{sid} |
YLD appendix |
Disability weight of sequela with id sid |
|
prevalence_s{sid} |
como |
Prevalence of sequela with id sid |
Model Assumptions and Limitations
Restrictions
The following table describes any restrictions on the effects of this cause (such as being only fatal or only nonfatal), as well as restrictions on the age and sex of simulants to which different aspects of the cause model apply.
Restriction Type |
Value |
Notes |
|---|---|---|
Male only |
False |
|
Female only |
False |
|
YLL only |
False |
|
YLD only |
False |
|
YLL age group start |
Early neonatal |
GBD age group id 2 |
YLL age group end |
Post neonatal |
GBD age group id 4 |
YLD age group start |
Early neonatal |
GBD age group id 2 |
YLD age group end |
95 plus |
GBD age group id 235 |
Todo
Add assumptions and limitations.
Validation Criteria
Todo
Describe tests for model validation.
References
(Direct links to the YLD Appendix hosted on Lancet.com and ScienceDirect)
Supplement to: GBD 2017 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet 2018; 392: 1736–88 (pp. 175-176)
(Direct links to the CoD Appendix hosted on Lancet.com and ScienceDirect)